SHANDONG SCIENCE ›› 2018, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (1): 79-.doi: 10.3976/j.issn.1002-4026.2018.01.014

• Tranfic and Transportation • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Passenger flow forecast of Zhengzhou-Jiaozuo intercity bus based on traffic travel behavior

FENG Xiao-yan1，ZHANG Ya-wei2   

  1. 1. School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044，China;
    2. School of Energy Resources, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454003，China
  • Received:2017-08-01 Published:2018-02-20 Online:2018-02-20

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Abstract:

In this paper, through statistical analysis of the personal attributes and travel information of ZhengzhouJiaozuo intercity bus passengers, the grey model was chosen for modeling, predicting, and precision detecting of the passenger flow. The average relative error of the model was 3.98% and the precision was 96.02%, which met the accuracy requirement well. The research offers a theoretical basis and technical support for optimizing the organization of ZhengzhouJiaozuo intercity bus.

Key words: passenger flow forecast, grey model, travel behavior characteristics, organization optimization

CLC Number: 

  • U491.1+2

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