关键词: 节假日, 停车选择, 前景理论, 熵权TOPSIS模型, ML模型

Abstract: Taking Summer Palace of Beijing as an example, the prospect theory was used to establish a decision-making model for the holiday parking choice. In order to determine the reference points of factors to influence parking choice, the actual survey data were analyzed by multiple regression analysis. The value function of each factor affecting holiday parking choice decision-making and the probability importance coefficient function of tourists about travel time were built up, and then the prospect value of single influencing factor of parking choice was calculated. The weighting of influencing factors was determined by entropy weight-TOPSIS to get the comprehensive attribute value of the parking choice, so as to make the choice of the parking plan. Based on expected utility theory, ML model was established to study the influencing factors of tourists' parking choice behavior. Finally, comparing the rankings of the calculations based on the model with the actual survey results, it is verified that the prospect theory is suitable for the study of holiday parking choice.

Key words: holiday, parking choice, prospect theory, entropy weight-TOPSIS model, ML model