山东科学 ›› 2015, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (1): 56-63.doi: 10.3976/j.issn.1002-4026.2015.01.010

• 交通运输专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

大型城市职住分布与通勤出行相关关系的网络动力学模型

刘阳,赵晖,周艳龙   

  1. 1.北京交通发展研究中心,北京 100073;2.北京理工大学交通工程研究所,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2014-07-14 出版日期:2015-02-20 发布日期:2015-02-20
  • 作者简介:刘阳(1971-)男,硕士研究生,高级工程师,研究方向为交通规划,交通影响评价。Email:liuyang8658@sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(71301010,71471104)

Network dynamics model for the relationship between metropolis residentemployment distribution and commuting

LIU Yang,ZHAO Hui,ZHOU Yanlong   

  1. 1. Beijing Transportation Research Center, Beijing 100073, China;2. Department of Transportation Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2014-07-14 Online:2015-02-20 Published:2015-02-20

摘要: 居住与就业分布不平衡是大型城市快速发展过程中一个非常突出的问题,会引发交通需求失衡以及严重拥堵。为探讨城市发展过程中职住分布与出行需求的交互关系,依据城市发展宏观数据作为影响变量,建立职住分布与通勤出行的网络动力学模型,并构建以参数关系为基础的小波神经网络作为求解算法。使用北京市宏观经济发展数据和9个典型居住区的职住出行数据进行模型标定和验证,结果显示,该网络动力学模型能够较好地描述大型城市职住分布结构对通勤出行特征的影响关系,并对通勤出行特征变化趋势做出预测。

关键词: 职住平衡, 网络动力学, 小波神经网络, 通勤出行

Abstract: Unbalanced distribution of resident and employment is a very predominant issue in the rapid metropolis development. It can cause the unbalance of traffic demand and heavy traffic congestion. We construct a network dynamics model for the relationship between residentemployment distribution and commuting with urban development macro data as influential variables to investigate the relationship in city development. We also establish parameter relationship based wavelet neural networks to solve the model. We further employ Beijing macroeconomic data and commuting data from nine typical residential areas to calibrate and validate the model. Results show that the model can better denote the influence of residentemployment distribution structure on commuting feature and predict the trend of commuting feature variance.

Key words: residentemployment distribution, commuting, wavelet neural networks, networks dynamic

中图分类号: 

  • U491.1+2